Dated end-of-day edition
JW Intelligence Report

Lam Research Corp / LRCX

StockTechnologySemiconductors
JW Rank58.3/ 100
Official close$299.20+1.19 (+0.40%)
Bid$297.80
Ask$299.20
Previous close$298.01
ATR (14)5.19%
RSI (14)45.2
Volume2.52M
Model reference$295.00
Upside scenario$325.00
Risk reference$280.00
Decision summary

LRCX Shows Bullish Signs Despite Recent Pullback

BalancedHigh confidence

The market appears bullish on Lam Research (LRCX) despite a recent pullback from its 52-week high. Option pricing suggests optimism for future growth, driven by strong earnings, AI demand, and analyst targets.

Wheel contextBullish options traders may look to buy calls or covered calls while bearish traders might consider selling puts or protective puts.
Dated supporting context

JW AI outlook

Bullish

Short-term scenario

Cautious buy on dips amid pullback with high uncertainty from mixed technicals, recent 3-month decline, and volatility; wait for support confirmation.

Three-month outlook

Constructive but uncertain due to high valuation, semiconductor cycle risks, and next earnings Oct 21; AI/memory demand, capacity investments, and analyst targets support potential move toward $350-370, though further volatility likely from macro factors.


Market sentiment context

Mixed to cautiously bullish; posts highlight AI-driven equipment demand, long-term hold recommendations, and buy alerts targeting $350 around current levels, though some note recent weakness, laggard performance, and pullback risks with promotional mixed in.

Observed market data

Price and technical structure

Dated end-of-day indicator set
Trend reference levels11 observations
20D SMA$310.34
50D SMA$314.24
200D SMA$264.19
9D EMA$304.39
21D EMA$307.79
20D MVWAP$310.63
YTD VWAP$276.25
Daily reference VWAP$298.82
Price vs 20D SMA-3.91%
Price vs 50D SMA-5.10%
Price vs 200D SMA12.88%
Momentum kinematics10 observations
RSI (7)42.47
RSI (14)45.16
RSI (21)46.40
Stochastic K58.83
Stochastic D68.73
MACD line-3.95
MACD histogram-3.93
ADX (14)8.89
MACD acceleration0.02
RSI velocity-2.92
Volatility and price boundaries11 observations
ATR (14)-0.25
ATR (14) %5.19%
Bollinger upper$338.71
Bollinger middle$310.34
Bollinger lower$281.97
Bollinger position0.29%
Volatility environmentHigh
20D realized volatility52.05%
Observed range position25.35%
5D true high$322.21
5D true low$292.66
Participation and institutional flow7 observations
Volume2.52M
20D average volume3.18M
Volume vs 20D average0.79x
20D SMA velocity-1.04
50D SMA velocity-2.16
Institutional flow-1.07
ATR velocity-0.25
Available cached indicators

Detailed decision indicators

Dated authorized values
Market overview7 observations
Price$299.20
DateSep 11, 2026
Volume2.52M
Vwap D$298.82
Mvwap 20$310.63
Change1.19
Change Percentage0.4%
Trend structure6 observations
Trend SignalBullish Recovery
Sma 20$310.34
Sma 50$314.24
Sma 200$264.19
Ema 9$304.39
Ema 21$307.79
Momentum structure9 observations
Rsi 742.47
Rsi 1445.16
Rsi 2146.40
Rsi SignalNeutral
Stoch K58.83
Stoch D68.73
Macd Line-3.95
Macd SignalBearish
Macd Hist-3.93
Volatility structure3 observations
Atr15.47
Atr Pct5.19%
EnvironmentHigh
Option market context3 observations
Current Iv54.61
Iv Rank28.30
Iv Percentile30.68%
Price boundaries8 observations
Bb Upper338.7
Bb Middle310.3
Bb Lower282.0
Bb Pctb0.29
True High$303.69
True Low$294.54
True High 5d$322.21
True Low 5d$292.66
Three-day velocities7 observations
Sma20$-1.04
Sma50$-2.16
Mvwap20$-1.07
Macd0.02
Rsi-2.92
Volume-361,315
Atr-0.25
Risk radar5 observations
Earnings RiskLow
Earnings DateOct 21, 2026
Macro RiskUnknown
Vol RiskHigh
Structure RiskLow
Deterministic scoring

JW Rank factors

Higher scores indicate stronger observed structure
LiquidityTrading capacity and quote quality proxyCoverage 100%
87
Strategy FitGeneric Wheel premium-selling environment fitCoverage 100%
64
Technical TrendPrice trend, momentum and long-term structureCoverage 100%
48
Market Tail RiskMarket-wide volatility and tail-risk regimeCoverage 100%
56
Fundamental QualityBusiness quality and balance-sheet durabilityCoverage 100%
83
Volatility PressureOption premium pressure relative to realized movementCoverage 100%
39

JW Rank is not a buy/sell rating, and coverage measures field availability—not accuracy or certainty.

Options Intelligence

What the closing chain was pricing

LRCX Shows Bullish Signs Despite Recent Pullback

The market appears bullish on Lam Research (LRCX) despite a recent pullback from its 52-week high. Option pricing suggests optimism for future growth, driven by strong earnings, AI demand, and analyst targets.

Front ATM IV53.45%
Current IV55.25%
IV Rank29.31
IV Percentile31.87%
25Δ skew-0.25
Term slope0.75
Term structureFlat
Quote coverage100%
Median option spread11.17%
Term structure

Implied volatility by expiration

3 observed expirations
54.2%51.4%
ExpirationDTEATM IVState
2026-09-187.0053.45%
2026-09-2514.0051.44%
2026-10-0221.0054.20%
Reference structures

Defined-risk observations

Bull Put Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$287.50
Long strike$285.00
Net credit / share$0.62
Credit / width24.60%
$62$-188$283.63$288.88Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract

Bear Call Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$317.50
Long strike$320.00
Net credit / share$0.49
Credit / width19.60%
$49$-201$316.13$321.38Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract
Evidence used
  • Implied volatility is elevated but term structure is flat, suggesting potential for continued price movement in either direction.
  • The stock's recent pullback has created buying opportunities as indicated by bullish sentiment in news and social media.
  • Strong earnings beat with positive guidance and a 27% dividend increase have boosted investor confidence.
Risk context
  • Valuation remains high, potentially making the stock vulnerable to a further pullback if earnings disappoint.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainty and semiconductor cycle risks could impact future performance.
Strategy intelligence

Structural fit, not a trade instruction

Wheel fit score64.50

Bullish options traders may look to buy calls or covered calls while bearish traders might consider selling puts or protective puts.

Execution intelligence

Liquidity and quote conditions

Dollar volume$750.69M
Underlying bid/ask spread0.47%
Option quote coverage100%
Median option spread11.17%
Fundamental intelligence

Business quality context

Factor score82.60
Coverage100%

Business quality and balance-sheet durability

Latest strategy observation

LRCX Covered Call signal

Sep 11, 2026 11:57 AM EDT

Covered Call | 2026-09-18 | short $315.00 | $4.10 credit | Conservative

Generalized structural observation only; no quantity, order instruction or personalized recommendation is provided.

Company and fundamental profile

Lam Research Corp at a glance

Dated valuation, quality, growth and shareholder context

Market position and valuation

Market capitalization$377.19B
P/E (TTM)51.9×
Beta1.95
52-week range$104.61 – $438.50
52-week return177.58%
Shares outstanding1.25B

Profitability and financial quality

Return on equity66.97%
Operating margin35.29%
Net margin31.27%
Debt / equity0.30×

Growth and cash generation

Revenue growth (3Y)10.06%
EPS growth (3Y)20.16%
Free cash flow CAGR (5Y)8.59%
Revenue / share (TTM)18.50
Book value / share9.97

Shareholder return and calendar

Dividend yield1.11%

Trading and reference facts

MarketNasdaq Nms Global Market
CountryUs
CurrencyUsd
IPO date1984-05-11
Company website
Methodology, edition and field coverage
EditionOfficial Close
Ready sections3 / 3
Report identityd142924078f62295c8af8bf9

JW Rank is deterministic and is not a buy/sell rating. Narrative sections explain dated evidence and do not change the score or observed facts. Coverage measures field availability, not accuracy or certainty. This public edition remains fixed.

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Important disclosures. Generalized market-structure research only. This report does not consider holdings, objectives, risk tolerance or financial circumstances and is not an investment recommendation, transaction instruction, offer, solicitation or return forecast. Market data, model scores and AI explanations may be delayed, incomplete or incorrect. Past, hypothetical, model and settled-signal results do not predict future results. Options are complex and may involve loss of the entire premium, substantial or theoretically unlimited loss, assignment, early exercise, margin, liquidity and execution risk. Before trading standardized options, read the OCC’s Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy