Market Pulse

VIX, VVIX & Market Volatility Analysis

Read volatility before reading a ticker.

Compare implied and realized volatility, SKEW, positioning proxies and macro indicators before exploring individual stocks and options.

VIX intelligence updatedOct 26, 2026 9:20 PM EDT

The dashboard refreshes from cached observations; sources update at different times. Check the displayed timestamps. This is not a real-time quote service.

Market indicators

90-day adaptive risk levels

Oct 26, 2026 9:20 PM EDT
VIX18.39
• +0.00%
P69 · HIGH/85d
VVIX101.43
• +0.00%
P68 · HIGH/85d
DXY102.10
▲ +0.07%
P71 · HIGH/63d
US10Y4.986%
▼ -0.04%
P23 · MED/56d
BTC$80,090
▲ +0.15%
P23 · HIGH/80d
WTI$101.02
▼ -0.48%
P85 · HIGH/69d
GOLD$4,026.80
▲ +0.20%
P11 · HIGH/69d
SILVER$54.13
▲ +0.28%
P11 · HIGH/69d

The P label is an adaptive historical percentile, not a probability of a market decline. LOW / MED / HIGH reflects available history; the day count shows observations used. Colors summarize relative conditions, not buy or sell instructions. Read the methodology notes.

Market sentimentBearish

Market tone is cautious to negative, driven by clear skepticism on the AI trade: an S&P 500 ex-AI index is outperforming, investors are questioning neocloud debt-fueled returns (with Musk warning of widespread failures), and Microsoft is pursuing large voluntary buyouts for capital efficiency amid its AI build-out. Additional drags include Apple product-quality issues on a new device, a bigger JetBlue loss, FTC action against a major retailer, and rising political uncertainty from a weakened Trump coalition ahead of midterms. Partial offsets are an Anthropic S-1 filing (supporting IPO activity), an Apollo stake deal, talk of improving airline margins, and a fully expected Fed hold, but these do not outweigh the fraying of the growth/AI narrative that has supported equities.

VIX Intelligence

VIX, volatility premium & market risk

Risk, premium and positioning in one view

Ready35 trading days
Current volatility regimeCalm

Volatility conditions are comparatively stable. Confirm symbol-level risk before acting.

Decision compass

A fast read of the conditions that matter for entry risk

RegimeCalm
TrendTrend Down
Golden PitMedium Risk
Tail RiskNormal Tail Risk
SKEWHigh Tail Risk Skew
GEXLow Gex
IV vs RVIv Overpriced
GammaShort Gamma Proxy

VIX & VVIX: volatility structure

Expected equity volatility and volatility of volatility

VIX18.39
VVIX101.43
VIX 30-minute18.39
VIX 5-day18.81
VIX 20-day17.22
VIX / VVIX 5-day ratio0.18
VVIX termVvix Rising3D 108.59 · 5D 105.84 · 10D 105.38

VIX measures options-implied expectations for 30-day S&P 500 volatility. VVIX measures expected volatility of the forward VIX. Neither predicts the direction of stock prices. Definitions & sources

Implied vs. realized volatility

Volatility risk premium and the cost of uncertainty

IV / realized volatility1.88×Iv Overpriced
Realized volatility 10D10.81
Realized volatility 20D9.77
Volatility risk premium8.62Positive Vrp
Volatility momentum1.03
Volatility carry8.62
SKEW150.97High Tail Risk Skew

A ratio above 1 means the implied-volatility input exceeds the realized-volatility comparison. It is not a guaranteed selling edge: horizons differ, future volatility can rise and trading costs matter.

Positioning & tail risk

Dealer mechanics, systematic flow and stress pressure

Dealer positioningLow Gex
GEX proxy0.01Gamma flip-2.04Gamma stateShort Gamma Proxy
Systematic positioningCta Long Or Flat
CTA trendNeutralCTA score3.18
Tail-risk pressureNormal Tail Risk
Tail-risk score0.45SKEW150.97SKEW stateHigh Tail Risk Skew
Volatility impulseVol Of Vol Neutral
Divergence5.63Divergence stateNeutralVVIX term3.21
Flush conditionNormal

GEX and positioning proxies are model estimates, not a direct inventory of dealer holdings. SKEW and the model's tail-risk classification measure different aspects of risk and can disagree; neither rules out a large market move.

Index confirmation

SPY, QQQ and IWM either confirm or challenge the read

SPYTrend Neutral
IV 13.97IVR 22.2IVP 48.6RSI Rsi NeutralBB Bb NormalMACD Macd Bullish
QQQTrend Neutral
IV 23.81IVR 63.4IVP 81.3RSI Rsi NeutralBB Bb NormalMACD Macd Bearish
IWMTrend Neutral
IV 19.21IVR 19.8IVP 34.3RSI Rsi NeutralBB Bb NormalMACD Macd Bearish

Built from VIX, VVIX, realized volatility and index-confirmation observations. Classifications describe market structure; they are not personalized investment advice or an order instruction. Latest observation: Oct 26, 2026 9:20 PM EDT.

Methodology & limitations

How to read this volatility dashboard

Start with the market backdrop, compare volatility measures, then examine the evidence for an individual symbol. No single indicator establishes a trading opportunity.

What do VIX, VVIX and SKEW measure?

VIX describes expected S&P 500 volatility, while VVIX describes uncertainty about VIX itself. SKEW reflects the pricing of tail risk in S&P 500 options. A subdued VIX does not mean tail risk has disappeared.

Index definitions: Cboe VIX, Cboe VVIX and Cboe SKEW background. These references explain the indices; they do not imply a direct Cboe data feed or endorsement.

How are the percentile and risk labels used?

The macro cards use available daily observations from a requested 90-day history window. The adaptive percentile blends shorter and longer lookbacks when enough observations exist. It is not a fixed VIX threshold or a crash probability.

History may be shorter than the requested window. Confidence labels describe history availability, not forecast accuracy. Macro-card colors and the VIX Intelligence regime are separate views and need not match.

Are these live quotes or trading signals?

The page displays cached market observations and derived research. Dashboard refresh, model generation and underlying quote times are different; refreshing the page does not make an older observation current. Instruments may also have different market sessions.

Positioning and gamma labels are proxies, not verified dealer positions or executable price levels. Missing values and limited-history warnings should not be interpreted as low risk. This is generalized research, not personalized advice.

About Jason Wheel Research LLC · Separate methodology: JW Rank for individual symbols

Put this context around the symbols you follow.JW Rank, Intelligence Reports, AI context, option structures and dated, inspectable strategy history share one decision language.

Meet JW AI Agents and explore how available market evidence becomes research context. Indicator readings remain source data, not AI-generated values.

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Options context

Premium opportunities

Shared volatility and premium context across distinct symbols followed by Jason Wheel users. This is a generalized structure monitor, not a buy or sell recommendation.

4 shown · more available
AM
AMAT$376.80
Semiconductors
JW 52.7IVP 64ATR 5.26%
Find AMAT research
AM
AMD$516.50
Semiconductors
JW 62.0IVP 65ATR 5.29%
Find AMD research
AM
AMZN$248.60
Retail
JW 63.9IVP 96ATR 2.69%
Find AMZN research
AR
ARM$209.33
Semiconductors
JW 47.9IVP 73ATR 7.37%
Find ARM research
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Shared coverage

JW Rank universe

One row per distinct active-Watchlist symbol. User identities, Watchlist relationships and account data are never exposed.

8 symbols shown · more available
SymbolClassificationLast priceJW RankCoverage
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
Find IBIT research
ETFs $45.89 JW 68.7
Constructive
88%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust
Find QQQ research
ETFs $704.80 JW 66.6
Constructive
88%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Find SPY research
ETFs — JW —
—
AAPL
Apple Inc
Find AAPL research
Technology $347.40 JW 83.9
Strong setup
100%
ADBE
Adobe Inc
Find ADBE research
Technology $263.03 JW 78.8
Constructive
100%
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc
Find AMAT research
Semiconductors $376.80 JW 52.7
Balanced
100%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices Inc
Find AMD research
Semiconductors $516.50 JW 62.0
Balanced
100%
AMZN
Amazon.com Inc
Find AMZN research
Retail $248.60 JW 63.9
Balanced
99%
The public table is a working sample.Create a free account to start a three-symbol Watchlist with the same JW Rank language.
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Event risk

U.S. economic calendar

Review every current U.S. release by date, Eastern Time and impact level. Compare actual, forecast and previous values without mixing the event agenda into the volatility dashboard.

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