Technical trend
30%base weight
Price structure and momentum
Price relative to 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages, RSI, ATR-adjusted MACD histogram and the observed trend state.
Stronger price structure can help this factor, but momentum is not rewarded without limit. RSI is scored around a defined range.
Premium setup
20%base weight
Premium relative to movement
Implied volatility rank and percentile, ATR as a percentage of price, and implied versus realized volatility when available.
Higher volatility is not automatically better. The model favors a defined premium range and moderates the score at extreme readings.
Underlying trading conditions
Estimated dollar trading volume and the underlying security’s bid–ask spread.
This is an underlying-market liquidity proxy, not a measure of every option contract’s liquidity. Inspect the selected contract separately.
Tail-risk safety
15%base weight
The wider market environment
Market regime, tail-risk regime, skew regime and the model’s volatility-risk classification.
Higher means more favorable market-wide risk conditions in the model—not greater tail risk or protection against losses.
Fundamental quality
10%base weight
Business or fund characteristics
For stocks: profitability, growth, cash-flow growth and leverage. For ETFs: expenses, asset scale, concentration and distress exposure.
Stocks and ETFs use different inputs. This factor is not a valuation target or a complete assessment of business quality.
Wheel strategy fit
10%base weight
The premium-selling environment
Premium availability, RSI, ATR relative to price, the earnings window and market regime.
A general setup assessment for Wheel research. It does not select a strike, expiration, position size or suitable trade for an individual.
Some reports use the names “Volatility Pressure,” “Market Tail Risk” and “Strategy Fit” for Premium setup, Tail-risk safety and Wheel strategy fit. Several factors share inputs; they are complementary views, not independent probabilities. Gamma exposure (GEX) is not required for this model.