Dated end-of-day edition
JW Intelligence Report

Tempus AI Inc / TEM

StockLife Sciences Tools & ServicesLife Sciences Tools & Services
JW Rank68.3/ 100
Official close$68.34+6.13 (+9.85%)
Bid$68.61
Ask$68.75
Previous close$62.21
ATR (14)6.51%
RSI (14)62.0
Volume5.58M
Model reference$65.00
Upside scenario$73.00
Risk reference$61.00
Decision summary

TEM Option Market Prices in Bullish Sentiment and Growth Potential

ConstructiveHigh confidence

The TEM option market displays a bullish outlook, driven by strong implied volatility, positive technical indicators, and recent positive news flow. The term structure is backwardated, suggesting traders expect continued upward price movement. Recent insider sales are noted but overall sentiment remains optimistic.

Wheel contextThe market is pricing in potential upside from upcoming catalysts like earnings and the Personalis acquisition.
Dated supporting context

JW AI outlook

Bullish

Short-term scenario

Speculative/cautious long on pullback or confirmed hold of breakout; high uncertainty from volatility, unprofitability and catalysts. Not advice.

Three-month outlook

Bullish bias possible from AI-in-healthcare tailwinds, data platform/partnerships (AstraZeneca, Merck, GSK etc.), genome initiative, FDA products and growth (25%+ guidance). Could reach 75-85+ if Q3/execution strong and market supports. Significant uncertainty: still loss-making, high short interest/beta, pending Personalis deal (dilution/risk), high vol, earnings Nov, competition. Retrace to 50s possible on negative news or market shift. Identify all as uncertain; volatile name.


Market sentiment context

Recent trader posts lean bullish on today's breakout/momentum (longs initiated, flag breakout, stage 2, AVWAP support, targets 80+). Discussion of groups/watchlists. Caution on high-risk AI/healthcare name, past acquisition dilution concerns, volatility. Older posts mixed (long-term bullish on data flywheel/partnerships vs short-report skepticism). Overall current sentiment optimistic but not unanimous; high-risk noted.

Observed market data

Price and technical structure

Dated end-of-day indicator set
Trend reference levels11 observations
20D SMA$63.95
50D SMA$56.08
200D SMA$56.16
9D EMA$63.29
21D EMA$61.73
20D MVWAP$64.53
YTD VWAP$55.10
Daily reference VWAP$66.56
Price vs 20D SMA7.66%
Price vs 50D SMA22.77%
Price vs 200D SMA22.60%
Momentum kinematics10 observations
RSI (7)68.00
RSI (14)61.97
RSI (21)59.94
Stochastic K39.10
Stochastic D20.25
MACD line2.12
MACD histogram2.56
ADX (14)25.44
MACD acceleration-0.04
RSI velocity4.70
Volatility and price boundaries11 observations
ATR (14)0.03
ATR (14) %6.51%
Bollinger upper$74.13
Bollinger middle$63.95
Bollinger lower$53.77
Bollinger position0.74%
Volatility environmentHigh
20D realized volatility114.99%
Observed range position87.67%
5D true high$68.94
5D true low$57.72
Participation and institutional flow7 observations
Volume5.58M
20D average volume5.62M
Volume vs 20D average0.99x
20D SMA velocity0.53
50D SMA velocity0.05
Institutional flow0.14
ATR velocity0.03
Available cached indicators

Detailed decision indicators

Dated authorized values
Market overview7 observations
Price$68.34
DateSep 15, 2026
Volume5.58M
Vwap D$66.56
Mvwap 20$64.53
Change6.13
Change Percentage9.85%
Trend structure6 observations
Trend SignalBullish Recovery
Sma 20$63.95
Sma 50$56.08
Sma 200$56.16
Ema 9$63.29
Ema 21$61.73
Momentum structure9 observations
Rsi 768.00
Rsi 1461.97
Rsi 2159.94
Rsi SignalNeutral
Stoch K39.10
Stoch D20.25
Macd Line2.12
Macd SignalBullish
Macd Hist2.56
Volatility structure3 observations
Atr4.48
Atr Pct6.51%
EnvironmentHigh
Option market context3 observations
Current Iv77.69
Iv Rank66.81
Iv Percentile72.91%
Price boundaries8 observations
Bb Upper74.13
Bb Middle63.95
Bb Lower53.77
Bb Pctb0.74
True High$68.94
True Low$61.88
True High 5d$68.94
True Low 5d$57.72
Three-day velocities7 observations
Sma20$0.53
Sma50$0.05
Mvwap20$0.14
Macd-0.04
Rsi4.70
Volume630,188
Atr0.03
Risk radar5 observations
Earnings RiskLow
Earnings DateNov 3, 2026
Macro RiskUnknown
Vol RiskHigh
Structure RiskLow
Deterministic scoring

JW Rank factors

Higher scores indicate stronger observed structure
LiquidityTrading capacity and quote quality proxyCoverage 100%
76
Strategy FitGeneric Wheel premium-selling environment fitCoverage 100%
67
Technical TrendPrice trend, momentum and long-term structureCoverage 100%
89
Market Tail RiskMarket-wide volatility and tail-risk regimeCoverage 100%
56
Fundamental QualityBusiness quality and balance-sheet durabilityCoverage 71%
22
Volatility PressureOption premium pressure relative to realized movementCoverage 100%
57

JW Rank is not a buy/sell rating, and coverage measures field availability—not accuracy or certainty.

Options Intelligence

What the closing chain was pricing

TEM Option Market Prices in Bullish Sentiment and Growth Potential

The TEM option market displays a bullish outlook, driven by strong implied volatility, positive technical indicators, and recent positive news flow. The term structure is backwardated, suggesting traders expect continued upward price movement. Recent insider sales are noted but overall sentiment remains optimistic.

Front ATM IV90.01%
Current IV78.85%
IV Rank69.24
IV Percentile74.90%
25Δ skew0.01
Term slope-14.63
Term structureBackwardation
Quote coverage99%
Median option spread23.19%
Term structure

Implied volatility by expiration

3 observed expirations
90.0%75.4%
ExpirationDTEATM IVState
2026-09-183.0090.01%
2026-09-2510.0078.65%
2026-10-0217.0075.38%
Reference structures

Defined-risk observations

Bull Put Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$64.00
Long strike$61.00
Net credit / share$0.49
Credit / width16.17%
$49$-251$59.35$65.65Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract

Bear Call Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$72.00
Long strike$73.00
Net credit / share$0.25
Credit / width25.00%
$25$-75$71.45$73.55Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract
Evidence used
  • Implied volatility is elevated at 78.85%, indicating high expectations for future price swings.
  • The stock has broken out above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a potential bullish trend.
  • Recent news includes FDA approvals, partnerships, and an initiative to build a large genomic dataset, all of which could drive future growth.
  • Traders are initiating long positions and setting targets above current levels.
Risk context
  • High short interest (25%) could lead to volatility and potential squeeze scenarios.
  • TEM remains unprofitable, raising concerns about long-term sustainability.
  • The pending Personalis acquisition carries dilution risk and uncertainty.
Strategy intelligence

Structural fit, not a trade instruction

Wheel fit score67.30

The market is pricing in potential upside from upcoming catalysts like earnings and the Personalis acquisition.

Execution intelligence

Liquidity and quote conditions

Dollar volume$384.09M
Underlying bid/ask spread0.20%
Option quote coverage99%
Median option spread23.19%
Fundamental intelligence

Business quality context

Factor score22.30
Coverage71%

Business quality and balance-sheet durability

Latest strategy observation

TEM Covered Call signal

Sep 11, 2026 12:11 PM EDT

Covered Call | 2026-09-18 | short $60.00 | $2.37 credit | High turnover

Generalized structural observation only; no quantity, order instruction or personalized recommendation is provided.

Company and fundamental profile

Tempus AI Inc at a glance

Dated valuation, quality, growth and shareholder context

Market position and valuation

Market capitalization$12.42B
Beta2.38
52-week range$40.77 – $104.32
52-week return-27.98%
Shares outstanding180.24M

Profitability and financial quality

Return on equity-54.70%
Operating margin-21.42%
Net margin-17.77%
Debt / equity2.52×

Growth and cash generation

Revenue growth (3Y)58.29%
Revenue / share (TTM)7.85
Book value / share2.47

Trading and reference facts

MarketNasdaq Nms Global Market
CountryUs
CurrencyUsd
IPO dateMay 30, 2025
Company website
Methodology, edition and field coverage
EditionOfficial Close
Ready sections3 / 3
Report identitya290437e9b2d9f1f70b205fb

JW Rank is deterministic and is not a buy/sell rating. Narrative sections explain dated evidence and do not change the score or observed facts. Coverage measures field availability, not accuracy or certainty. This public edition remains fixed.

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Important disclosures. Generalized market-structure research only. This report does not consider holdings, objectives, risk tolerance or financial circumstances and is not an investment recommendation, transaction instruction, offer, solicitation or return forecast. Market data, model scores and AI explanations may be delayed, incomplete or incorrect. Past, hypothetical, model and settled-signal results do not predict future results. Options are complex and may involve loss of the entire premium, substantial or theoretically unlimited loss, assignment, early exercise, margin, liquidity and execution risk. Before trading standardized options, read the OCC’s Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy