Dated end-of-day edition
JW Intelligence Report

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) Options Analysis & Market Structure

StockTechnologyTechnology
JW Rank62.1/ 100

Explore implied volatility, skew, term structure, option spreads alongside market-structure research for CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD). Review the dated evidence and its limitations below.

Archived end-of-day edition: . Not a live quote or options chain. Sections may use different observation times.

View the latest CRWD research
Official close$243.00-7.43 (-2.97%)
Bid$240.87
Ask$242.16
Previous close$250.43
ATR (14)5.48%
RSI (14)45.6
Volume4.87M
Model reference$242.00
Upside scenario$260.00
Risk reference$232.00
Decision summary

CRWD Option Market Implies Continued Volatility

BalancedHigh confidence

The market for CRWD options suggests continued volatility, with elevated implied volatility and a backwardated term structure. While recent news includes a Deutsche Bank upgrade and positive partnership announcements, the stock price declined alongside broader software sector weakness. The near-term outlook is cautious, with support around $240-$242.

Wheel contextCRWD's option market reflects uncertainty surrounding its future performance. The elevated implied volatility suggests investors are pricing in potential for both upside and downside movement.
Dated supporting context

JW AI outlook

Neutral

Short-term scenario

Cautious tactical long only if $240-$242 support holds over the next 1-3 weeks; do not chase strength while software is under pressure. A bounce is possible but not high-conviction. Not financial advice. Uncertainty is high because sector selling can override company-specific news.

Three-month outlook

Base case is a choppy path toward the mid-$260s to low-$280s if late-November earnings confirm net-new ARR momentum without margin deterioration and the software selloff stabilizes. Deutsche Bank's $300 target is an upside scenario, not the base case; some consensus targets sit near the current price. Downside risk is a deeper reset into the low-$200s if bookings slow or AI-capex fears persist. Key uncertainties include the earnings print, whether new partnerships convert to ARR, competition, insider selling, and whether this is a dip or a valuation regime shift. Not investment advice.


Market sentiment context

Mixed and low-conviction on Nov 2. Some posts treat the Deutsche Bank upgrade, rising cyber incidents, and AI-stack partnerships as reasons to buy the dip. Others call the name bearish intraday, outline tactical shorts toward about $240, or question rich multiples, possible margin drag from concessions, and dual-vendor competition with Palo Alto Networks and Microsoft. Uncertainty: the X sample is small, noisy, and not a reliable survey of investor positioning.

Observed market data

CRWD: Price and technical structure

Dated end-of-day indicator set
Trend reference levels11 observations
20D SMA$253.40
50D SMA$241.25
200D SMA$167.88
9D EMA$252.47
21D EMA$251.55
20D MVWAP$252.85
YTD VWAP$153.89
Daily reference VWAP$245.20
Price vs 20D SMA-4.57%
Price vs 50D SMA0.23%
Price vs 200D SMA44.04%
Momentum kinematics10 observations
RSI (7)37.86
RSI (14)45.55
RSI (21)48.94
Stochastic K56.51
Stochastic D68.96
MACD line2.10
MACD histogram3.00
ADX (14)16.90
MACD acceleration-0.54
RSI velocity-4.65
Volatility and price boundaries11 observations
ATR (14)0.32
ATR (14) %5.48%
Bollinger upper$284.91
Bollinger middle$253.40
Bollinger lower$221.90
Bollinger position0.32%
Volatility environmentHigh
20D realized volatility60.32%
Observed range position60.37%
5D true high$272.29
5D true low$240.17
Participation and institutional flow7 observations
Volume4.87M
20D average volume5.75M
Volume vs 20D average0.85x
20D SMA velocity-0.92
50D SMA velocity1.13
Institutional flow-0.51
ATR velocity0.32
Available cached indicators

Detailed decision indicators

Dated authorized values
Market overview7 observations
Price$243.00
DateNov 2, 2026
Volume4.87M
Vwap D$245.20
Mvwap 20$252.85
Change-7.43
Change Percentage 2.97%
Trend structure6 observations
Trend SignalStrong Bull
Sma 20$253.40
Sma 50$241.25
Sma 200$167.88
Ema 9$252.47
Ema 21$251.55
Momentum structure9 observations
Rsi 737.86
Rsi 1445.55
Rsi 2148.94
Rsi SignalNeutral
Stoch K56.51
Stoch D68.96
Macd Line2.10
Macd SignalBullish
Macd Hist3.00
Volatility structure3 observations
Atr13.25
Atr Pct5.48%
EnvironmentHigh
Option market context3 observations
Current Iv70.17
Iv Rank93.24
Iv Percentile99.20%
Price boundaries8 observations
Bb Upper284.9
Bb Middle253.4
Bb Lower221.9
Bb Pctb0.32
True High$253.61
True Low$240.17
True High 5d$272.29
True Low 5d$240.17
Three-day velocities7 observations
Sma20$-0.92
Sma50$1.13
Mvwap20$-0.51
Macd-0.54
Rsi-4.65
Volume343,118
Atr0.32
Risk radar5 observations
Earnings RiskLow
Earnings DateDec 1, 2026
Macro RiskUnknown
Vol RiskHigh
Structure RiskLow
Deterministic scoring

JW Rank factors for CRWD

Higher scores indicate stronger observed structure
LiquidityTrading capacity and quote quality proxyCoverage 100%
89
Strategy FitGeneric Wheel premium-selling environment fitCoverage 100%
65
Technical TrendPrice trend, momentum and long-term structureCoverage 100%
62
Market Tail RiskMarket-wide volatility and tail-risk regimeCoverage 100%
56
Fundamental QualityBusiness quality and balance-sheet durabilityCoverage 86%
51
Volatility PressureOption premium pressure relative to realized movementCoverage 100%
50

JW Rank is not a buy/sell rating, and coverage measures field availability—not accuracy or certainty.

Options Intelligence

CRWD options analysis: volatility & pricing

CRWD Option Market Implies Continued Volatility

The market for CRWD options suggests continued volatility, with elevated implied volatility and a backwardated term structure. While recent news includes a Deutsche Bank upgrade and positive partnership announcements, the stock price declined alongside broader software sector weakness. The near-term outlook is cautious, with support around $240-$242.

Front ATM IV82.71%
Current IV67.94%
IV Rank88.51
IV Percentile98.41%
25Δ skew7.99
Term slope-13.07
Term structureBackwardation
Quote coverage100%
Median option spread6.33%
Term structure

Implied volatility by expiration: term structure

3 observed expirations
82.7%69.6%
ExpirationDTEATM IVState
2026-11-064.0082.71%—
2026-11-1311.0071.77%—
2026-11-2018.0069.64%—
Reference structures

Defined-risk observations

Bull Put Spread Reference

Expiration—
Short strike$227.50
Long strike$225.00
Net credit / share$0.52
Credit / width20.60%
$52$-198$223.63$228.88Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract

Bear Call Spread Reference

Expiration—
Short strike$257.50
Long strike$260.00
Net credit / share$0.54
Credit / width21.40%
$54$-196$256.13$261.38Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract
Evidence used
  • Implied volatility for CRWD is currently at 67.94%, ranking in the top percentile.
  • The term structure of implied volatility is backwardated, indicating that near-term options are more expensive than longer-term options.
  • Recent news includes a Deutsche Bank upgrade and positive partnership announcements, but the stock price declined alongside broader software sector weakness.
Risk context
  • The stock price decline alongside broader software sector weakness raises concerns about the overall market sentiment towards growth stocks.
Strategy intelligence

Structural fit, not a trade instruction

Wheel fit score65.20

CRWD's option market reflects uncertainty surrounding its future performance. The elevated implied volatility suggests investors are pricing in potential for both upside and downside movement.

Execution intelligence

Liquidity and quote conditions

Dollar volume$1.18B
Underlying bid/ask spread0.41%
Option quote coverage100%
Median option spread6.33%
Fundamental intelligence

Business quality context

Factor score50.50
Coverage86%

Business quality and balance-sheet durability

Latest strategy observation

CRWD Covered Call signal

Oct 28, 2026 9:32 AM EDT

Covered Call | 2026-10-30 | short $270.00 | $6.75 credit | Conservative

Generalized structural observation only; no quantity, order instruction or personalized recommendation is provided.

Company and fundamental profile

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. at a glance

Dated valuation, quality, growth and shareholder context

Market position and valuation

Market capitalization$256.42B
P/E (TTM)4,386.3×
Beta1.15
52-week range$85.68 – $286.99
52-week return85.96%
Shares outstanding1.02B

Profitability and financial quality

Return on equity1.29%
Operating margin-2.21%
Net margin1.08%
Debt / equity0.17×

Growth and cash generation

Revenue growth (3Y)29.01%
Free cash flow CAGR (5Y)33.50%
Revenue / share (TTM)5.17
Book value / share5.01

Trading and reference facts

MarketNasdaq Nms Global Market
CountryUs
CurrencyUsd
IPO dateJun 12, 2019
Company website
Methodology, edition and field coverage
EditionOfficial Close
Ready sections3 / 3
Report identity3c2b01884c3230b31cd6eb1a

Published by Jason Wheel Research LLC · How JW Rank is calculated

JW Rank is deterministic and is not a buy/sell rating. Narrative sections explain dated evidence and do not change the score or observed facts. Coverage measures field availability, not accuracy or certainty. This public edition remains fixed.

Continue with the same symbol

Carry CRWD from this dated report into your Watchlist.

The report remains a fixed publication. The App and web workspace continue with current cached quotes, alerts, options context and symbol history.

Important disclosures. Generalized market-structure research only. This report does not consider holdings, objectives, risk tolerance or financial circumstances and is not an investment recommendation, transaction instruction, offer, solicitation or return forecast. Market data, model scores and AI explanations may be delayed, incomplete or incorrect. Past, hypothetical, model and settled-signal results do not predict future results. Options are complex and may involve loss of the entire premium, substantial or theoretically unlimited loss, assignment, early exercise, margin, liquidity and execution risk. Before trading standardized options, read the OCC’s Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy