Dated end-of-day edition
JW Intelligence Report

Adobe Inc / ADBE

StockTechnologyTechnology
JW Rank55.2/ 100
Official close$250.50-7.26 (-2.82%)
Bid$250.00
Ask$250.92
Previous close$257.76
ATR (14)4.27%
RSI (14)42.9
Volume2.42M
Model reference$248.00
Upside scenario$265.00
Risk reference$238.00
Decision summary

ADBE Option Market Shows Mixed Sentiment After Earnings

BalancedHigh confidence

The ADBE option market displays a mixed sentiment following its recent earnings report. While the stock price declined after the release, options pricing suggests uncertainty and potential for both upside and downside movement.

Wheel contextThe market appears to be digesting the recent earnings report and weighing the impact of slowing growth and AI monetization concerns against the company's strong fundamentals and long-term potential.
Dated supporting context

JW AI outlook

Mixed

Short-term scenario

Neutral/cautious; high uncertainty from mixed technicals, post-earnings volatility, and growth quality questions. Dip-buy only if $245-248 support holds.

Three-month outlook

Cautiously constructive toward $280-300 if Q4 delivers on ARR and AI monetization, given ~10x FY26 EPS valuation and buybacks. High uncertainty from potential further ARR slowdown, AI competition, CEO transition, and market conditions; multiple compression risk if growth disappoints.


Market sentiment context

Mixed, short-term cautious/bearish tilt. Some call post-dump undervalued buy (AI assists not replaces pro tools, cash generation). Heavy put buying (high put/call). Growth/AI monetization concerns persist. Promotional spam common.

Observed market data

Price and technical structure

Dated end-of-day indicator set
Trend reference levels11 observations
20D SMA$271.11
50D SMA$254.90
200D SMA$265.70
9D EMA$260.28
21D EMA$264.06
20D MVWAP$267.90
YTD VWAP$251.05
Daily reference VWAP$251.58
Price vs 20D SMA-7.60%
Price vs 50D SMA-1.73%
Price vs 200D SMA-5.72%
Momentum kinematics10 observations
RSI (7)36.05
RSI (14)42.94
RSI (21)46.62
Stochastic K31.01
Stochastic D28.72
MACD line-1.02
MACD histogram3.02
ADX (14)20.66
MACD acceleration-0.63
RSI velocity0.16
Volatility and price boundaries11 observations
ATR (14)-0.05
ATR (14) %4.27%
Bollinger upper$299.21
Bollinger middle$271.11
Bollinger lower$243.02
Bollinger position0.13%
Volatility environmentHigh
20D realized volatility47.92%
Observed range position57.45%
5D true high$266.10
5D true low$241.51
Participation and institutional flow7 observations
Volume2.42M
20D average volume2.89M
Volume vs 20D average0.84x
20D SMA velocity-0.12
50D SMA velocity0.76
Institutional flow-0.18
ATR velocity-0.05
Available cached indicators

Detailed decision indicators

Dated authorized values
Market overview7 observations
Price$250.50
DateSep 16, 2026
Volume2.42M
Vwap D$251.58
Mvwap 20$267.90
Change-7.26
Change Percentage 2.82%
Trend structure6 observations
Trend SignalStrong Bear
Sma 20$271.11
Sma 50$254.90
Sma 200$265.70
Ema 9$260.28
Ema 21$264.06
Momentum structure9 observations
Rsi 736.05
Rsi 1442.94
Rsi 2146.62
Rsi SignalNeutral
Stoch K31.01
Stoch D28.72
Macd Line-1.02
Macd SignalBullish
Macd Hist3.02
Volatility structure3 observations
Atr10.69
Atr Pct4.27%
EnvironmentHigh
Option market context3 observations
Current Iv38.90
Iv Rank39.86
Iv Percentile33.47%
Price boundaries8 observations
Bb Upper299.2
Bb Middle271.1
Bb Lower243.0
Bb Pctb0.13
True High$257.76
True Low$249.27
True High 5d$266.10
True Low 5d$241.51
Three-day velocities7 observations
Sma20$-0.12
Sma50$0.76
Mvwap20$-0.18
Macd-0.63
Rsi0.16
Volume-1.62M
Atr-0.05
Risk radar5 observations
Earnings RiskLow
Earnings DateDec 9, 2026
Macro RiskUnknown
Vol RiskHigh
Structure RiskMedium
Deterministic scoring

JW Rank factors

Higher scores indicate stronger observed structure
LiquidityTrading capacity and quote quality proxyCoverage 100%
86
Strategy FitGeneric Wheel premium-selling environment fitCoverage 100%
68
Technical TrendPrice trend, momentum and long-term structureCoverage 100%
31
Market Tail RiskMarket-wide volatility and tail-risk regimeCoverage 100%
56
Fundamental QualityBusiness quality and balance-sheet durabilityCoverage 100%
83
Volatility PressureOption premium pressure relative to realized movementCoverage 100%
48

JW Rank is not a buy/sell rating, and coverage measures field availability—not accuracy or certainty.

Options Intelligence

What the closing chain was pricing

ADBE Option Market Shows Mixed Sentiment After Earnings

The ADBE option market displays a mixed sentiment following its recent earnings report. While the stock price declined after the release, options pricing suggests uncertainty and potential for both upside and downside movement.

Front ATM IV44.79%
Current IV40.33%
IV Rank43.55
IV Percentile40.24%
25Δ skew-2.79
Term slope-3.40
Term structureBackwardation
Quote coverage97%
Median option spread22.92%
Term structure

Implied volatility by expiration

3 observed expirations
44.8%41.4%
ExpirationDTEATM IVState
2026-09-182.0044.79%
2026-09-259.0041.45%
2026-10-0216.0041.39%
Reference structures

Defined-risk observations

Bull Put Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$247.50
Long strike$245.00
Net credit / share$0.46
Credit / width18.60%
$46$-204$243.63$248.88Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract

Bear Call Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$260.00
Long strike$262.50
Net credit / share$0.46
Credit / width18.40%
$46$-204$258.63$263.88Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract
Evidence used
  • Implied volatility is elevated at 40.33%, indicating heightened expectations for price swings in the coming weeks.
  • The term structure shows a backwardation pattern with near-term options more expensive than longer-dated options, suggesting some concern about short-term volatility.
  • Put buying is evident, reflected in the call demand elevated skew and high put/call ratio, indicating bearish sentiment.
Risk context
  • Slowing revenue growth and net new ARR could pressure future earnings and valuation.
Strategy intelligence

Structural fit, not a trade instruction

Wheel fit score71.00

The market appears to be digesting the recent earnings report and weighing the impact of slowing growth and AI monetization concerns against the company's strong fundamentals and long-term potential.

Execution intelligence

Liquidity and quote conditions

Dollar volume$606.18M
Underlying bid/ask spread0.37%
Option quote coverage97%
Median option spread22.92%
Fundamental intelligence

Business quality context

Factor score82.90
Coverage100%

Business quality and balance-sheet durability

Latest strategy observation

ADBE Covered Call signal

Sep 16, 2026 10:01 AM EDT

Covered Call | 2026-09-18 | short $250.00 | $6.15 credit | High turnover

Generalized structural observation only; no quantity, order instruction or personalized recommendation is provided.

Company and fundamental profile

Adobe Inc at a glance

Dated valuation, quality, growth and shareholder context

Market position and valuation

Market capitalization$102.46B
P/E (TTM)14.5×
Beta1.40
52-week range$190.12 – $370.86
52-week return-25.74%
Shares outstanding397.50M

Profitability and financial quality

Return on equity62.39%
Operating margin35.70%
Net margin28.05%
Debt / equity0.53×

Growth and cash generation

Revenue growth (3Y)10.52%
EPS growth (3Y)18.25%
Free cash flow CAGR (5Y)13.17%
Revenue / share (TTM)65.75
Book value / share28.87

Trading and reference facts

MarketNasdaq Nms Global Market
CountryUs
CurrencyUsd
IPO date1986-08-20
Company website
Methodology, edition and field coverage
EditionOfficial Close
Ready sections3 / 3
Report identity47e6be691d5a6de9c5d29482

JW Rank is deterministic and is not a buy/sell rating. Narrative sections explain dated evidence and do not change the score or observed facts. Coverage measures field availability, not accuracy or certainty. This public edition remains fixed.

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Important disclosures. Generalized market-structure research only. This report does not consider holdings, objectives, risk tolerance or financial circumstances and is not an investment recommendation, transaction instruction, offer, solicitation or return forecast. Market data, model scores and AI explanations may be delayed, incomplete or incorrect. Past, hypothetical, model and settled-signal results do not predict future results. Options are complex and may involve loss of the entire premium, substantial or theoretically unlimited loss, assignment, early exercise, margin, liquidity and execution risk. Before trading standardized options, read the OCC’s Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy