Dated end-of-day edition
JW Intelligence Report

Intel Corp / INTC

StockTechnologySemiconductors
JW Rank65.9/ 100
Official close$104.52+0.05 (+0.05%)
Bid$104.49
Ask$104.63
Previous close$104.47
ATR (14)5.07%
RSI (14)63.4
Volume74.28M
Model reference$103.50
Upside scenario$116.00
Risk reference$98.00
Decision summary

INTC Option Market Prices in Bullish Sentiment

ConstructiveHigh confidence

The market for INTC options reflects a bullish outlook. The stock's recent price surge, driven by positive news regarding CPU price hikes, foundry milestones, and strong AI demand, has fueled call buying and pushed implied volatility higher.

Wheel contextBullish sentiment is driven by positive news regarding CPU price hikes, foundry milestones, and strong AI demand.
Dated supporting context

JW AI outlook

Bullish

Short-term scenario

Cautious momentum buy on minor dip. Positive catalysts but RSI approaching overbought after sharp rally; high uncertainty from valuation, volatility and execution.

Three-month outlook

Moderately constructive yet highly uncertain. Sustained 18A/foundry progress and AI demand could push toward $120-140. Risks: stretched multiples despite GAAP losses, dilution, competition, delays and macro. High beta amplifies swings. Oct earnings is key catalyst. Turnaround advancing but much already priced in.


Market sentiment context

Largely bullish among traders citing AI/server recovery, foundry milestones, price hikes, US government support and heavy call buying. Breakout above $100 noted with volume. Some caution on 4x yearly rally, valuation and possible pullbacks, but short-term momentum dominates.

Observed market data

Price and technical structure

Dated end-of-day indicator set
Trend reference levels11 observations
20D SMA$94.72
50D SMA$99.62
200D SMA$74.86
9D EMA$96.69
21D EMA$95.53
20D MVWAP$95.56
YTD VWAP$81.46
Daily reference VWAP$105.21
Price vs 20D SMA12.16%
Price vs 50D SMA6.65%
Price vs 200D SMA41.92%
Momentum kinematics10 observations
RSI (7)80.86
RSI (14)63.36
RSI (21)56.75
Stochastic K88.47
Stochastic D65.94
MACD line-0.19
MACD histogram-2.21
ADX (14)15.39
MACD acceleration0.95
RSI velocity5.96
Volatility and price boundaries11 observations
ATR (14)0.07
ATR (14) %5.07%
Bollinger upper$107.81
Bollinger middle$94.72
Bollinger lower$81.63
Bollinger position0.94%
Volatility environmentHigh
20D realized volatility55.57%
Observed range position41.25%
5D true high$106.69
5D true low$87.50
Participation and institutional flow7 observations
Volume74.28M
20D average volume64.27M
Volume vs 20D average1.16x
20D SMA velocity0.16
50D SMA velocity-0.58
Institutional flow0.22
ATR velocity0.07
Available cached indicators

Detailed decision indicators

Dated authorized values
Market overview7 observations
Price$104.52
DateSep 9, 2026
Volume74.28M
Vwap D$105.21
Mvwap 20$95.56
Change0.05
Change Percentage0.05%
Trend structure6 observations
Trend SignalStrong Bull
Sma 20$94.72
Sma 50$99.62
Sma 200$74.86
Ema 9$96.69
Ema 21$95.53
Momentum structure9 observations
Rsi 780.86
Rsi 1463.36
Rsi 2156.75
Rsi SignalNeutral
Stoch K88.47
Stoch D65.94
Macd Line-0.19
Macd SignalBearish
Macd Hist-2.21
Volatility structure3 observations
Atr5.38
Atr Pct5.07%
EnvironmentHigh
Option market context3 observations
Current Iv64.61
Iv Rank39.48
Iv Percentile48.61%
Price boundaries8 observations
Bb Upper107.8
Bb Middle94.72
Bb Lower81.63
Bb Pctb0.94
True High$106.69
True Low$102.70
True High 5d$106.69
True Low 5d$87.50
Three-day velocities7 observations
Sma20$0.16
Sma50$-0.58
Mvwap20$0.22
Macd0.95
Rsi5.96
Volume6.04M
Atr0.07
Risk radar5 observations
Earnings RiskLow
Earnings DateOct 22, 2026
Macro RiskUnknown
Vol RiskHigh
Structure RiskMedium
Deterministic scoring

JW Rank factors

Higher scores indicate stronger observed structure
LiquidityTrading capacity and quote quality proxyCoverage 100%
99
Strategy FitGeneric Wheel premium-selling environment fitCoverage 100%
58
Technical TrendPrice trend, momentum and long-term structureCoverage 100%
85
Market Tail RiskMarket-wide volatility and tail-risk regimeCoverage 100%
32
Fundamental QualityBusiness quality and balance-sheet durabilityCoverage 71%
26
Volatility PressureOption premium pressure relative to realized movementCoverage 100%
56

JW Rank is not a buy/sell rating, and coverage measures field availability—not accuracy or certainty.

Options Intelligence

What the closing chain was pricing

INTC Option Market Prices in Bullish Sentiment

The market for INTC options reflects a bullish outlook. The stock's recent price surge, driven by positive news regarding CPU price hikes, foundry milestones, and strong AI demand, has fueled call buying and pushed implied volatility higher.

Front ATM IV73.77%
Current IV64.66%
IV Rank39.56
IV Percentile48.61%
25Δ skew-4.73
Term slope-9.97
Term structureBackwardation
Quote coverage100%
Median option spread3.19%
Term structure

Implied volatility by expiration

3 observed expirations
73.8%62.7%
ExpirationDTEATM IVState
2026-09-112.0073.77%
2026-09-167.0062.65%
2026-09-2516.0063.80%
Reference structures

Defined-risk observations

Bull Put Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$102.00
Long strike$101.00
Net credit / share$0.23
Credit / width23.00%
$23$-77$100.45$102.55Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract

Bear Call Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$110.00
Long strike$111.00
Net credit / share$0.18
Credit / width17.50%
$18$-82$109.45$111.55Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract
Evidence used
  • INTC's option chain shows elevated call demand with a negative skew, indicating a preference for bullish bets.
  • The term structure of IV is backwardated, suggesting market participants expect near-term price increases.
  • High volume on recent gains further supports the bullish sentiment.
Risk context
  • Valuation concerns remain as INTC trades at a high forward P/E ratio.
  • Competition in the semiconductor industry poses a risk to future growth.
Strategy intelligence

Structural fit, not a trade instruction

Wheel fit score57.90

Bullish sentiment is driven by positive news regarding CPU price hikes, foundry milestones, and strong AI demand.

Execution intelligence

Liquidity and quote conditions

Dollar volume$7.89B
Underlying bid/ask spread0.05%
Option quote coverage100%
Median option spread3.19%
Fundamental intelligence

Business quality context

Factor score25.80
Coverage71%

Business quality and balance-sheet durability

Latest strategy observation

INTC Covered Call signal

Sep 9, 2026 9:49 AM EDT

Covered Call | 2026-09-11 | short $105.00 | $2.35 credit | High turnover | also meets Conservative

Generalized structural observation only; no quantity, order instruction or personalized recommendation is provided.

Company and fundamental profile

Intel Corp at a glance

Dated valuation, quality, growth and shareholder context

Market position and valuation

Market capitalization$552.24B
Beta2.39
52-week range$24.05 – $142.35
52-week return291.18%
Shares outstanding5.04B

Profitability and financial quality

Return on equity-10.76%
Operating margin9.36%
Net margin-19.79%
Debt / equity0.41×

Growth and cash generation

Revenue growth (3Y)-5.71%
Revenue / share (TTM)11.17
Book value / share17.36

Shareholder return and calendar

Dividend yield1.14%

Trading and reference facts

MarketNasdaq Nms Global Market
CountryUs
CurrencyUsd
IPO date1971-10-13
Company website
Methodology, edition and field coverage
EditionOfficial Close
Ready sections3 / 3
Report identity0e45b7ae4f214d091578ccd1

JW Rank is deterministic and is not a buy/sell rating. Narrative sections explain dated evidence and do not change the score or observed facts. Coverage measures field availability, not accuracy or certainty. This public edition remains fixed.

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Important disclosures. Generalized market-structure research only. This report does not consider holdings, objectives, risk tolerance or financial circumstances and is not an investment recommendation, transaction instruction, offer, solicitation or return forecast. Market data, model scores and AI explanations may be delayed, incomplete or incorrect. Past, hypothetical, model and settled-signal results do not predict future results. Options are complex and may involve loss of the entire premium, substantial or theoretically unlimited loss, assignment, early exercise, margin, liquidity and execution risk. Before trading standardized options, read the OCC’s Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy