Dated end-of-day edition
JW Intelligence Report

Dell Technologies Inc / DELL

StockTechnologyTechnology
JW Rank71.6/ 100
Official close$506.54-28.71 (-5.36%)
Bid$505.00
Ask$507.00
Previous close$535.25
ATR (14)6.16%
RSI (14)57.7
Volume3.17M
Model reference$510.00
Upside scenario$545.00
Risk reference$495.00
Decision summary

DELL Shows Bullish Signs Despite Recent Pullback

ConstructiveHigh confidence

The market appears bullish on DELL despite a recent pullback from its all-time high. Strong earnings, raised guidance, and a robust AI backlog contribute to the positive sentiment. However, caution is warranted due to stretched valuations, potential profit-taking, and macro uncertainties.

Wheel contextRecent insider selling and a bond refinance may contribute to the short-term pullback.
Dated supporting context

JW AI outlook

Bullish

Short-term scenario

Cautious accumulate on further weakness (1-3 weeks) given fundamentals vs. high uncertainty from parabolic move, insider selling, and volatility. Not advice.

Three-month outlook

Positive bias from $95B AI backlog, raised guidance, and Q3 $49B revenue outlook; potential $580-620 if execution holds. High uncertainty: possible AI spend slowdown, supply constraints, valuation mean-reversion after 300%+ YTD, macro/rates, competition. Elevated risk.


Market sentiment context

Bullish on AI infrastructure/backlog as Nvidia 'picks and shovels' play; high tight flag patterns noted for potential continuation. Caution on stretched valuation after massive YTD rally, wait-for-retest, memory cost margin pressure, and profit-taking. Mixed with some cooling after surge.

Observed market data

Price and technical structure

Dated end-of-day indicator set
Trend reference levels11 observations
20D SMA$475.73
50D SMA$446.06
200D SMA$259.53
9D EMA$501.54
21D EMA$479.28
20D MVWAP$483.21
YTD VWAP$277.73
Daily reference VWAP$514.40
Price vs 20D SMA6.46%
Price vs 50D SMA13.54%
Price vs 200D SMA95.14%
Momentum kinematics10 observations
RSI (7)56.64
RSI (14)57.67
RSI (21)57.46
Stochastic K78.82
Stochastic D86.28
MACD line21.46
MACD histogram15.74
ADX (14)11.95
MACD acceleration1.89
RSI velocity-2.00
Volatility and price boundaries11 observations
ATR (14)-0.30
ATR (14) %6.16%
Bollinger upper$545.25
Bollinger middle$475.73
Bollinger lower$406.22
Bollinger position0.72%
Volatility environmentHigh
20D realized volatility75.77%
Observed range position82.60%
5D true high$562.99
5D true low$478.30
Participation and institutional flow7 observations
Volume3.17M
20D average volume4.80M
Volume vs 20D average0.66x
20D SMA velocity3.21
50D SMA velocity2.20
Institutional flow2.59
ATR velocity-0.30
Available cached indicators

Detailed decision indicators

Dated authorized values
Market overview7 observations
Price$506.54
DateSep 10, 2026
Volume3.17M
Vwap D$514.46
Mvwap 20$483.21
Change-28.71
Change Percentage 5.36%
Trend structure6 observations
Trend SignalStrong Bull
Sma 20$475.73
Sma 50$446.06
Sma 200$259.53
Ema 9$501.54
Ema 21$479.28
Momentum structure9 observations
Rsi 756.64
Rsi 1457.67
Rsi 2157.46
Rsi SignalNeutral
Stoch K78.82
Stoch D86.28
Macd Line21.46
Macd SignalBullish
Macd Hist15.74
Volatility structure3 observations
Atr31.21
Atr Pct6.16%
EnvironmentHigh
Option market context3 observations
Current Iv58.68
Iv Rank37.75
Iv Percentile52.19%
Price boundaries8 observations
Bb Upper545.3
Bb Middle475.7
Bb Lower406.2
Bb Pctb0.72
True High$535.25
True Low$506.25
True High 5d$562.99
True Low 5d$478.30
Three-day velocities7 observations
Sma20$3.21
Sma50$2.20
Mvwap20$2.59
Macd1.89
Rsi-2.00
Volume-1.27M
Atr-0.30
Risk radar5 observations
Earnings RiskLow
Earnings DateNov 27, 2026
Macro RiskUnknown
Vol RiskHigh
Structure RiskLow
Deterministic scoring

JW Rank factors

Higher scores indicate stronger observed structure
LiquidityTrading capacity and quote quality proxyCoverage 100%
99
Strategy FitGeneric Wheel premium-selling environment fitCoverage 100%
69
Technical TrendPrice trend, momentum and long-term structureCoverage 100%
92
Market Tail RiskMarket-wide volatility and tail-risk regimeCoverage 100%
56
Fundamental QualityBusiness quality and balance-sheet durabilityCoverage 100%
46
Volatility PressureOption premium pressure relative to realized movementCoverage 100%
46

JW Rank is not a buy/sell rating, and coverage measures field availability—not accuracy or certainty.

Options Intelligence

What the closing chain was pricing

DELL Shows Bullish Signs Despite Recent Pullback

The market appears bullish on DELL despite a recent pullback from its all-time high. Strong earnings, raised guidance, and a robust AI backlog contribute to the positive sentiment. However, caution is warranted due to stretched valuations, potential profit-taking, and macro uncertainties.

Front ATM IV62.92%
Current IV59.33%
IV Rank38.79
IV Percentile52.99%
25Δ skew-0.32
Term slope-5.96
Term structureBackwardation
Quote coverage100%
Median option spread3.39%
Term structure

Implied volatility by expiration

3 observed expirations
62.9%57.0%
ExpirationDTEATM IVState
2026-09-111.0062.92%
2026-09-188.0056.99%
2026-09-2515.0056.96%
Reference structures

Defined-risk observations

Bull Put Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$502.50
Long strike$500.00
Net credit / share$0.58
Credit / width23.00%
$58$-192$498.63$503.88Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract

Bear Call Spread Reference

Expiration
Short strike$525.00
Long strike$527.50
Net credit / share$0.58
Credit / width23.20%
$58$-192$523.63$528.88Expiration payoff per standard 100-share contract
Evidence used
  • DELL beat Q2 FY2027 earnings estimates with $47B revenue and $7.04 non-GAAP EPS.
  • The company raised its FY27 revenue guidance to $192B (+69%) and EPS to $25.50.
  • A $95B backlog, driven by strong AI demand, supports future growth expectations.
Risk context
  • Profit-taking after a significant YTD rally could lead to further price declines.
  • High valuation multiples warrant caution, especially if growth slows.
Strategy intelligence

Structural fit, not a trade instruction

Wheel fit score69.10

Recent insider selling and a bond refinance may contribute to the short-term pullback.

Execution intelligence

Liquidity and quote conditions

Dollar volume$1.60B
Underlying bid/ask spread0.15%
Option quote coverage100%
Median option spread3.39%
Fundamental intelligence

Business quality context

Factor score46.30
Coverage100%

Business quality and balance-sheet durability

Latest strategy observation

DELL Covered Call signal

Sep 10, 2026 9:37 AM EDT

Covered Call | 2026-09-11 | short $522.50 | $10.00 credit | High turnover

Generalized structural observation only; no quantity, order instruction or personalized recommendation is provided.

Company and fundamental profile

Dell Technologies Inc at a glance

Dated valuation, quality, growth and shareholder context

Market position and valuation

Market capitalization$345.80B
P/E (TTM)30.4×
Beta1.42
52-week range$110.22 – $538.47
52-week return334.05%
Shares outstanding648.11M

Profitability and financial quality

Return on equity130.70%
Operating margin9.43%
Net margin7.53%
Debt / equity13.29×

Growth and cash generation

Revenue growth (3Y)3.53%
EPS growth (3Y)38.80%
Free cash flow CAGR (5Y)-1.72%
Revenue / share (TTM)231.9
Book value / share11.67

Shareholder return and calendar

Dividend yield1.99%

Trading and reference facts

MarketNew York Stock Exchange, Inc.
CountryUs
CurrencyUsd
IPO dateAug 1, 2016
Company website
Methodology, edition and field coverage
EditionOfficial Close
Ready sections3 / 3
Report identity8fb713d0063585e8136b0d99

JW Rank is deterministic and is not a buy/sell rating. Narrative sections explain dated evidence and do not change the score or observed facts. Coverage measures field availability, not accuracy or certainty. This public edition remains fixed.

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Important disclosures. Generalized market-structure research only. This report does not consider holdings, objectives, risk tolerance or financial circumstances and is not an investment recommendation, transaction instruction, offer, solicitation or return forecast. Market data, model scores and AI explanations may be delayed, incomplete or incorrect. Past, hypothetical, model and settled-signal results do not predict future results. Options are complex and may involve loss of the entire premium, substantial or theoretically unlimited loss, assignment, early exercise, margin, liquidity and execution risk. Before trading standardized options, read the OCC’s Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Terms of Use · Privacy Policy